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Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 9/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Wednesday September 11, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Marlins Park
Miami, Florida
The Line
Miami Marlins +148 / Milwaukee Brewers -170 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
FSFL, FSWI
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Miami Marlins will continue their MLB series on Wednesday.

In the Monday opener of this set, the Brewers powered out an 8-3 win. On Tuesday, Milwaukee managed three runs in the first three innings, breaking a 3-3 tie in the ninth on the way to a 4-3 win.
For Wednesday’s game, the Brewers will go with Zach Davies in the start. Over 141.1 innings and a 9-7 record Davies has a 3.69 ERA with 91 Ks and 46 BBs.

Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re sending out Pablo Lopez on Wednesday. Across 91.0 innings and a 5-8 record this year, Lopez has a 4.75 ERA with 83 Ks and 19 BBs.

The Brewers are 7-0 in their last seven Wednesday games and 4-1 in their last five in game three of a series. Milwaukee is 2-5 in Davies’ last seven starts and 7-3 in his last 10 Wednesday starts.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 Wednesday games and 7-19 in Lopez’s last 26 starts. Miami is 4-10 in Lopez’s last 14 home starts and 1-9 in his last 10 starts with four days’ rest.

Davies has been doing well over his last two starts since the five-game losing streak. In that stretch he’s put up one earned in 9.2 innings and is 1-0.

As for Lopez, he’s lost his last three straight and gotten zero run support in either of his last two outings. I’m going to stick with Davies and the Brewers here.

Pick:
Milwaukee Brewers -170

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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